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Biden stumbles during debate?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$54.2K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJun 27, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Biden stumbles during debate?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jun 27, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden stumbles at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle, from his initial entrance, to when he exits the debate stage after the completion of the closing remarks. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Stumble" is defined as any incident where Biden loses his balance and has to catch himself, or falls to the ground. If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be video footage of the debate.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 8:57:27 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.