
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Joe Biden does not attend Kamala Harris's keynote speech at the 2024 Democratic National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attendance is defined as Joe Biden's being present in person for Kamala Harris's speech at the DNC. The primary resolution source for this market will be official confirmation from the DNC, Joe Biden, and The White House, or their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 6:24:48 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.