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Biden senile during the debate?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$550.5K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJun 27, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Biden senile during the debate?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jun 27, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden exhibits clear signs of senility consistently throughout the Presidential debate scheduled for June 27, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Isolated gaffes or occasional moments of confusion will not qualify. Clear signs of senility include but are not limited to persistent incoherence, confusion, inability to follow the debate format, or prolonged periods of non-responsiveness. For example if this market were about Biden's 2024 State of the Union Address, it would resolve to "No." The resolution source will be video footage of the debate. No updates or clarifications will be made to this market's rules.