Biden helped off stage at the debate?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$28.9K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCJun 27, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds100%

Biden helped off stage at the debate?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Jun 27, 2024
Yes bid / ask: 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is physically helped off the stage at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle, from his first appearance during the official broadcast, to when he exits the debate stage after the completion of the closing remarks. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Biden is physically guided or supported, such as having a hand on his back, locked arms, or otherwise being physically helped to move or maintain balance, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Biden holding another person's hand will not automatically result in a "Yes" resolution; however, if the hand-holding helps guide or support Biden, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The recent incident involving Obama guiding Biden off of a stage with his hand on his back would qualify for a "Yes" resolution (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1wTCdeJ-6Ik). If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be video footage of the debate.