
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Over" if Joe Biden's speech on the first night of the Democratic National Convention (DNC), exceeds 30 minutes in length. If the speech is 30 minutes or less, the market will resolve to "Under." The speech length will be measured from the start of when Biden begins audibly speaking on stage during his speech until he finishes his speech. If Biden does not give a speech on the first night of the convention, this market will resolve to "Under". The resolution source will be the live video of the event.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 11:20:26 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.