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Biden Disapproval on Dec 29
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$256.6
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCDec 29, 2023
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
3 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
>55.5%ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Joe Biden's 538 disapproval rating be greater than 55.5% on December 29?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 29, 2023
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's disapproval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is greater than 55.5% for the day of December 29, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's disapproval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the purple trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for December 29 as soon as a datapoint for December 30 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the December 30 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for December 29 is available by January 1, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous disapproval rating to December 29. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.