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Ben Pasternak jailed?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 1 open question · Evidence required
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$52.4K
Liquidity$849.3
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Accepting ordersMarket odds2.9%
Ben Pasternak jailed?
Yes2.9%Polymarket estimate
No97.2%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $849.3
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 2.3¢ / 3.4¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben Pasternak serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 11:10:17 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.