Loading your workspace…
All markets
Belgian Election: Which party wins the most seats?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$766.1K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJun 9, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
11 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
N-VAClosedMarket odds100%
Will the N-VA win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jun 9, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
Belgium is scheduled to hold federal elections for the Chamber of Representatives (lower house of parliament) on June 9, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the New Flemish Alliance (N-VA) wins more seats than any other party in the Chamber of Representatives as a result of the 2024 Belgian federal elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the 2024 Belgian federal elections do not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the N-VA, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Belgian government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.