B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

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Will Caroline Elliott win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Yes25%Polymarket estimate

No75%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $266.8
Deadline · UTC: Dec 31, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 12.0¢ / 38.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Will Iain Black win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Yes7.8%Polymarket estimate

No92.3%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $11.3K
Deadline · UTC: Dec 31, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 5.6¢ / 9.9¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.

Fresh successful report: 1 credit. Valid shared report: free.

Resolution rules

A leadership election for the Conservative Party of British Columbia is expected following the resignation of Kerry-Lynne Findlay as party leader on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.

Will Stockwell Day win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Yes4%Polymarket estimate

No96%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $170.5
Deadline · UTC: Dec 31, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 1.0¢ / 7.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.

Fresh successful report: 1 credit. Valid shared report: free.

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

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Price history

Outcomes & resolution rules

Will Caroline Elliott win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Resolution rules

Will Iain Black win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Will Stockwell Day win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Will Chip Wilson win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Will Yuri Fulmer win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Will Claire Rattée win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Will Sheldon Clare win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Will Aaron Gunn win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Will Person A win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Will Person B win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Will Person C win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Will Person D win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Will Person E win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Will Person F win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Will Person G win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Will Person H win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Will Person I win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Will Person J win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Will Person K win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Will Person L win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Will Person M win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Will Person N win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Will Person O win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Will Person P win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Will Person Q win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

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Will Person R win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?