
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if François Bayrou is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between January 13 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of François Bayrou's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if François Bayrou is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between August 24 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of François Bayrou's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 6:08:17 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.