Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

Foretrace AI research

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Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.

Choose a market to analyze 1 open question · Evidence required

24h volume$10

Total volume$25.8K

Liquidity$2.9K

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Accepting ordersMarket odds76.5%

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

Yes76.5%Polymarket estimate

No23.5%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $2.9K
Deadline · UTC: Jan 1, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 74.0¢ / 79.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Retrieved 10/3/2026, 11:58:26 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.