Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?

Foretrace AI research

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24h volume$208

Total volume$1K

Liquidity$1.4K

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?Accepting ordersMarket odds32%

Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?

Rodri32%Polymarket estimate

Messi68%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $1.4K
Deadline · UTC: Jan 1, 2027
Rodri bid / ask: 31.0¢ / 33.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Rodri" if Rodri finishes higher than Lionel Messi in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. This market will resolve to "Messi" if Lionel Messi finishes higher than Rodri. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If both players are given the same placement in the official ranking, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the official placements of both players have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or ranking; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.