Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.

View a sample AI report This event is outside current AI coverage.

24h volume$17.8

Total volume$1.4K

Liquidity$1.4K

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027

Price history

Market probability

Loading price history…

Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Accepting ordersMarket odds43.5%

Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?

Kane43.5%Polymarket estimate

Yamal56.5%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $1.4K
Deadline · UTC: Jan 1, 2027
Kane bid / ask: 43.0¢ / 44.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

AI research not covered

Initial research coverage focuses on politics and the economy.

Check AI research coverage

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Kane" if Harry Kane finishes higher than Lamine Yamal in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. This market will resolve to "Yamal" if Lamine Yamal finishes higher than Harry Kane. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If both players are given the same placement in the official ranking, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the official placements of both players have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or ranking; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.