Loading your workspace…
All markets
BAFTA: Best Actor
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$21.6K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCFeb 18, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
6 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Cillian Murphy - OppenheimerClosedMarket odds100%
Will Cillian Murphy win the BAFTA for Best Actor?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $4K
- Deadline · UTC
- Feb 16, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The British Academy Film Awards are given every year by British Academy of Film and Television Arts (BAFTA) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 77th British Academy Film Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for February 18. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cillian Murphy wins the BAFTA for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from BAFTA, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.bafta.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.