
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Blake Masters wins the 2024 Republican Primary for the 8th Arizona Congressional District (AZ-8). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2024 Republican Primary for the Arizona Congressional District (AZ-8) takes place this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Abraham Hamadehwins wins the 2024 Republican Primary for the 8th Arizona Congressional District (AZ-8). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2024 Republican Primary for the Arizona Congressional District (AZ-8) takes place this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Ben Toma wins the 2024 Republican Primary for the 8th Arizona Congressional District (AZ-8). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2024 Republican Primary for the Arizona Congressional District (AZ-8) takes place this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Trent Franks wins the 2024 Republican Primary for the 8th Arizona Congressional District (AZ-8). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2024 Republican Primary for the Arizona Congressional District (AZ-8) takes place this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate other than Blake Masters, Abraham Hamadeh, Ben Toma, Trent Franks, or Anthony Kern wins the 2024 Republican Primary for the 8th Arizona Congressional District (AZ-8). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2024 Republican Primary for the Arizona Congressional District (AZ-8) takes place this market will resolve to “Yes”. The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Kern wins the 2024 Republican Primary for the 8th Arizona Congressional District (AZ-8). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2024 Republican Primary for the Arizona Congressional District (AZ-8) takes place this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 7:21:00 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.