
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksUnited States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. This market will resolve to "Engel" if Democrat Kirsten Engel wins the congressional election in Arizona's 6th district. This market will resolve to "Ciscomani" if Republican Juan Ciscomani wins the congressional election in Arizona's 6th district. If any other candidate wins the election, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 11:28:55 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.