
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksIf the U.S. reports a negative change (less than 0) in total nonfarm payroll employment for August 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2025, scheduled to be released on September 5, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 2:43:54 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.