
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Speed/Kai make between 1 (inclusive) and 20 (inclusive) Fortnite attempts by the end of their Fortnite "Playing Fortnite Until we get a Win⛏️ ft. Kai Cenat" challenge. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve once Speed/Kai complete the challenge, or otherwise abandon the challenge altogether. If the counter reaches higher than this market's upper bound, the market may immediately resolve to "No". If no counter is available, this market will resolve based on the number of times both Speed and Kai leave a game after it has started (eg, once both die in-game, it counts as 1 attempt). The resolution source is the counter on https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat. If the challenge is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" for the 100+ bracket.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Speed/Kai make between 21 (inclusive) and 49 (inclusive) Fortnite attempts by the end of their Fortnite "Playing Fortnite Until we get a Win⛏️ ft. Kai Cenat" challenge. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve once Speed/Kai complete the challenge, or otherwise abandon the challenge altogether. If the counter reaches higher than this market's upper bound, the market may immediately resolve to "No". If no counter is available, this market will resolve based on the number of times both Speed and Kai leave a game after it has started (eg, once both die in-game, it counts as 1 attempt). The resolution source is the counter on https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat. If the challenge is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" for the 100+ bracket.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Speed/Kai make between 50 (inclusive) and 74 (inclusive) Fortnite attempts by the end of their Fortnite "Playing Fortnite Until we get a Win⛏️ ft. Kai Cenat" challenge. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve once Speed/Kai complete the challenge, or otherwise abandon the challenge altogether. If the counter reaches higher than this market's upper bound, the market may immediately resolve to "No". If no counter is available, this market will resolve based on the number of times both Speed and Kai leave a game after it has started (eg, once both die in-game, it counts as 1 attempt). The resolution source is the counter on https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat. If the challenge is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" for the 100+ bracket.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Speed/Kai make 100 or more Fortnite attempts by the end of their Fortnite "Playing Fortnite Until we get a Win⛏️ ft. Kai Cenat" challenge. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve once Speed/Kai complete the challenge, or otherwise abandon the challenge altogether. If no counter is available, this market will resolve based on the number of times both Speed and Kai leave a game after it has started (eg, once both die in-game, it counts as 1 attempt). The resolution source is the counter on https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat. If the challenge is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" for the 100+ bracket.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Speed/Kai make between 75 (inclusive) and 99 (inclusive) Fortnite attempts by the end of their Fortnite "Playing Fortnite Until we get a Win⛏️ ft. Kai Cenat" challenge. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve once Speed/Kai complete the challenge, or otherwise abandon the challenge altogether. If the counter reaches higher than this market's upper bound, the market may immediately resolve to "No". If no counter is available, this market will resolve based on the number of times both Speed and Kai leave a game after it has started (eg, once both die in-game, it counts as 1 attempt). The resolution source is the counter on https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat. If the challenge is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" for the 100+ bracket.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 9:08:40 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.