
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Marti Pujolras and Filippo Moroni in the Palermo, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Marti Pujolras' if Alex Marti Pujolras advances against Filippo Moroni. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Moroni' if Filippo Moroni advances against Alex Marti Pujolras. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Marti Pujolras and Filippo Moroni in the Palermo, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution sourceRetrieved 10/4/2026, 11:37:47 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.