Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$468.9

Liquidity$10.6K

Event end date · UTCNov 4, 2026

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Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?Accepting ordersMarket odds77%

Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?

Yes77%Polymarket estimate

No23%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $10.9K
Deadline · UTC: Nov 4, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 76.0¢ / 78.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

Arizona Proposition 317 is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would declare drug cartels to be terrorist organizations, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/).