Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access? | Foretrace

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Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?

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24h volume$110.2

Total volume$757.3

Liquidity$397.4

Event end date · UTCNov 4, 2026

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Polymarket · UTC

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Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?Accepting ordersMarket odds63%

Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?

Yes63%Polymarket estimate

No37%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $397.4
Deadline · UTC: Nov 4, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 60.0¢ / 66.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

Arizona HCR 2003 is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain sports leagues, locker rooms, restrooms, and other spaces based on the sex recorded on an individual's original birth certificate. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/).