archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$122.6K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCNov 21, 2025

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Polymarket · UTC

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1 market

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ClosedMarket odds0%

Cloudflare outage caused by state actor?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Nov 21, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

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Resolution rules

On November 18, massive internet service outages were reported by Cloudflare affecting a wide variety of popular services, including X, ChatGPT, and others. You can read more about that here: https://www.independent.co.uk/tech/cloudflare-down-twitter-not-working-outage-b2867367.html This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the mentioned November 18, 2025 outages were caused by a hack, and that that hack was perpetrated by a state actor, by November 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. "A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the outage. A "state actor" is defined as an entity whose actions are legally or politically attributable to a sovereign state. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from relevant companies and governments, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.