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Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 14 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$152.7
Total volume$71.7K
Liquidity$112.6K
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2028
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
14 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
$500MAccepting ordersMarket odds63%
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes63%Polymarket estimate
No37%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $12.1K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2028
- Yes bid / ask
- 62.0¢ / 64.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".