Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?

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Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$397.7K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds100%

Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Dec 31, 2025
Yes bid / ask: 98.5¢ / 98.9¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

Recently, there have been a spate of arson attacks on Teslas and Tesla facilities. You can read more about that here: https://abcnews.go.com/Business/video/investigation-underway-apparent-tesla-arson-attacks-119962366 This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one person is found guilty of arson involving a Tesla facility or property, or any vehicle owned or produced by Tesla, between March 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered a relevant case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgement delivered a the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.