
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire a United States–based exchange registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as a designated contract market (DCM) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM Eastern Time (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where a DCM is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between a DCM and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. Acquisitions announced prior to this market’s release will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the respective DCM and the corresponding acquiring entity; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 5:11:34 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.