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Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
View a sample AI report This event is outside current AI coverage.
24h volume$73.7
Total volume$7.1K
Liquidity$13.2K
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2028
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
7 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
$1.5TAccepting ordersMarket odds91.2%
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T?
Yes91.2%Polymarket estimate
No8.8%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $1K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2028
- Yes bid / ask
- 84.3¢ / 98.1¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
AI research not covered
Initial research coverage focuses on politics and the economy.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Anthropic's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange's official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.