
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic achieves a public valuation of $500 billion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $500 billion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be Anthropic's official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 10:26:33 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.