
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn Friday, May 16, ten inmates escaped from a jail in New Orleans. Five have since been captured, however five remain at large. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/article/new-orleans-jail-escape-inmates.html This market will resolve to "Yes" if all of the remaining five escapees are placed physically into the custody of any law enforcement agency by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be information from relevant government authorities.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 8:57:26 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.