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All New Orleans escapees captured by Friday?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$142.1K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCMay 23, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
All New Orleans escapees captured by Friday?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- May 23, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
On Friday, May 16, ten inmates escaped from a jail in New Orleans. Three have since been captured, however seven remain at large. You can read more about that here: https://news.sky.com/story/eight-men-on-the-run-after-audacious-shawshank-escape-from-us-jail-13369323 This market will resolve to "Yes" if all of the remaining seven escapees are placed physically into the custody of any law enforcement agency by May 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be information from relevant government authorities.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 12:46:22 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.