
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a wide consensus of credible media asserts definitively that extraterrestrial life or technology has contacted any of the human race by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:28:09 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.
This event is available to explore. Closed markets do not generate new forecasts.