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4th GOP Debate: Mention Markets
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
View a sample AI report This event is outside current AI coverage.
24h volume$0
Total volume$49.7K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCDec 6, 2023
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
11 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Trump said by every candidateClosedMarket odds100%
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 4th RNC primary debate?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 6, 2023
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
AI research not covered
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Trump" or "trump" is said at least once by every invited candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Mentions of the word trump need not specifically refer to any individual. For example if a candidate says "My policies trump his!" it will count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".