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3rd richest person on December 31?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 37 open questions · Evidence required
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$24.9K
Liquidity$1.9K
Event end date · UTCJan 3, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
37 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Elon MuskAccepting ordersMarket odds25.1%
Will Elon Musk be 3rd richest person on December 31?
Yes25.1%Polymarket estimate
No74.9%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $460
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 3, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.8¢ / 49.4¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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