2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick

See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery. If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner. If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied. If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Retrieved 10/4/2026, 2:44:50 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.