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2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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Choose a market to analyze 4 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$29.1
Total volume$7.4K
Liquidity$33.6K
Event end date · UTCApr 18, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
4 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Gabriel AttalAccepting ordersMarket odds15.3%
Will Gabriel Attal, but not Édouard Philippe, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes15.3%Polymarket estimate
No84.8%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $449
- Deadline · UTC
- Apr 18, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 12.4¢ / 18.1¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.