
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of home runs hit by the player recording the highest scoring round at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined single round home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of home runs hit by the player recording the highest scoring round at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined single round home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of home runs hit by the player recording the highest scoring round at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined single round home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of home runs hit by the player recording the highest scoring round at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined single round home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of home runs hit by the player recording the highest scoring round at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined single round home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of home runs hit by the player recording the highest scoring round at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined single round home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 9:03:54 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.