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#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 12 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$22.4
Total volume$27.4
Liquidity$867.3
Event end date · UTCOct 9, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
12 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ChatGPTAccepting ordersMarket odds22.5%
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?
Yes22.5%Polymarket estimate
No77.5%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $91.2
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 9, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 2.0¢ / 43.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).