Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Polymarket odds

Democrats Sweep64.5%R Senate, D House28.5%Republicans Sweep6.5%

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$870K 24h vol.5 markets

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Democratic Party93.5%Republican Party6.5%

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$340.7K 24h vol.9 markets

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Roger Marshall (R)62.5%Adam Hamilton (D)36.5%

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$225.4K 24h vol.13 markets

Texas Senate Election Winner

Polymarket odds

James Talarico (D)64.5%Ken Paxton (R)35.5%

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$152K 24h vol.13 markets

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Aaron Ford (D)51.5%Joe Lombardo (R)47.5%

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$69K 24h vol.13 markets

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Democratic Party64.5%Republican Party35.5%

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$60.2K 24h vol.9 markets

Texas Governor Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Greg Abbott (R)75.2%Gina Hinojosa (D) 24.5%

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$49.3K 24h vol.13 markets

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Jocelyn Benson (D)95%John James (R)4.7%Independent0.05%

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$32.5K 24h vol.13 markets

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Mary Peltola72.5%Sen. Dan Sullivan27.5%Ann Diener0.05%

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$28.6K 24h vol.29 markets

Vermont Governor Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Phil Scott (R)78%Amanda Janoo (D)20.2%

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$26.7K 24h vol.13 markets

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Darline Graham Nordone (R)86.5%Annie Andrews (D)12.5%

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$24K 24h vol.13 markets

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Sherrod Brown (D)60.5%Jon Husted (R)39.5%

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$18.7K 24h vol.13 markets

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Peggy Flanagan (D)89.5%Michele Tafoya (R)11%

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$14.7K 24h vol.13 markets

Maine Senate Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Troy Jackson (D)59.5%Susan Collins (R)40.5%

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$13.7K 24h vol.13 markets

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Ashley Hinson (R)57%Josh Turek (D)43%

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$13.6K 24h vol.13 markets

TX-06 House Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Jake Ellzey (R)94.8%Danny Minton (D)1.2%

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$11.4K 24h vol.8 markets

NY-20 House Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Paul Tonko (D)97.4%Ralph Ambrosio (R)2.7%

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$10.6K 24h vol.8 markets

Florida Governor Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Byron Donalds (R) 77.5%David Jolly (D)23.5%

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$9.4K 24h vol.13 markets

GA-10 House Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Houston Gaines (R)94.5%Pam Delancy (D)4%

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$8.4K 24h vol.8 markets

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Amy Acton (D)65.5%Vivek Ramaswamy (R)34.5%

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$7.3K 24h vol.13 markets

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins75.6%Bernadette Wilson18%Tom Begich1.1%

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$6.9K 24h vol.40 markets

Which states will Trump visit before the midterms?

Polymarket odds

Ohio99.6%Alaska98.9%Nevada97.2%

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$6.7K 24h vol.14 markets

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

Polymarket odds

↓ 7%93%↓ 5%15.5%↑ 12%9.5%

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$6.2K 24h vol.6 markets

TX-31 House Election Winner

Polymarket odds

John Carter (R)95%Justin Early (D)4.5%

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$6.1K 24h vol.8 markets

MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket odds

Democrat 3%+95.5%Republican 0-3%3.2%Democrat 0-3%2%

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$5.8K 24h vol.13 markets

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

Polymarket odds

↓ 30%44.5%↑ 40%35.5%↑ 45%17%

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$5.2K 24h vol.8 markets

Georgia Governor Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Rick Jackson (R)52%Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)46.5%

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$5.1K 24h vol.13 markets

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Polymarket odds

≤4738.5%4814.5%4913.5%

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$3.9K 24h vol.11 markets

TN-07 House Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Matt Van Epps (R)97%Darden Copeland (D)3.2%

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$3.8K 24h vol.8 markets

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Abdul El-Sayed (D)72.5%Mike Rogers (R)27.5%

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$3.7K 24h vol.13 markets

Montana Senate Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Kurt Alme (R) 91.5%Independent8.3%Alani Bankhead (D)0.4%

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$3.6K 24h vol.13 markets

OH-06 House Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Michael Rulli (R)95%Elizabeth Kirtley (D)5.5%

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$3.2K 24h vol.8 markets

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?

Polymarket odds

1142.5%1022.5%916.5%

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$3K 24h vol.7 markets

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Pete Ricketts (R)73.5%Independent26.5%Democrat0.1%

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$3K 24h vol.13 markets

CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)

Polymarket odds

Ken Calvert54.5%Young Kim41.5%

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$3K 24h vol.6 markets

Idaho Senate Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Jim Risch (R)94.7%Todd Achilles (I)5.5%Democrat0.05%

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$3K 24h vol.13 markets

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Iowa?

Polymarket odds

341.5%232%117.5%

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$2.9K 24h vol.5 markets

KY-06 House Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Ralph Alvarado (R)72.5%Zach Dembo (D)26.5%

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$2.8K 24h vol.8 markets

TX-15 House Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Bobby Pulido (D)78.5%Monica De La Cruz (R)20.5%

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$2.6K 24h vol.8 markets

Arkansas Senate Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Tom Cotton (R) 93.4%Hallie Shoffner (D)6.6%

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$2.6K 24h vol.13 markets

MI-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket odds

Democrat 30-35%24.5%Democrat 25-30%23.5%Democrat 20-25%15%

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$2.5K 24h vol.12 markets

Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Polymarket odds

Jackson 3-6%35.5%Collins 0-3%19%Jackson 0-3%16.5%

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$2.5K 24h vol.12 markets

How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?

Polymarket odds

243%330%110.5%

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$2.4K 24h vol.7 markets

Blue wave in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes84.5%No15.5%

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$2.2K 24h vol.

TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket odds

Democrat 9-12%23.5%Democrat 6-9%18%Democrat 3-6%12.5%

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$2.2K 24h vol.13 markets

NY-04 House Election Winner

Polymarket odds

Laura Gillen (D)89.5%Jeanine Driscoll (R)10.7%

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$2.2K 24h vol.8 markets

MO-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket odds

Republican 25-30%27%Republican 30-35%24.4%Republican 20-25%19.2%

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$2.1K 24h vol.12 markets

KY-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket odds

Republican 0-3%20.5%Republican 6-9%18.8%Republican 3-6%18.5%

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$2K 24h vol.13 markets

Quotes are market estimates, not AI forecasts. Public prediction events come from Polymarket’s paginated catalogue; specialist trading products are outside this explorer. Retrieved 05:50 PM UTC.